Report

Q3 2025 Industry Insights

South Africa’s Credit Market in Q3 2025: Strategic Moves to Manage Risk

Q3 2025 Report highlights include:

  • Vehicle asset finance originations continued to surge, driven by younger consumers and prime and below risk tiers
  • Credit card originations grew, as higher demand was met with lower new account credit limits
  • Personal loan growth and risk patterns diverged amongst bank and non-bank lenders

TransUnion’s Q3 2025 South Africa Industry Insights Report highlights key trends in the South Africa credit market: vehicle asset finance continued its recovery, with stable account volumes and rising balances supported by longer loan terms and more affordable vehicle choices. Credit card usage expanded, with total book balances growing faster than account volumes, even as average balances per card remained stable and new account credit limits were reduced. Non-bank personal loans surged, driven by higher-risk consumers, though elevated delinquencies underscore the importance of strong affordability checks and consumer safeguards.

These shifting patterns in credit demand, usage and risk occurred against the backdrop of a cautiously improving economy. A 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut in July, driven by favourable inflation trends, gave consumers some relief. However, unemployment remained high1 at 31.9% for the quarter, highlighting persistent labour pressures that constrained the wallets of many consumers.


Q3 2025 Metrics for Consumer Credit Products

q3 2025 inline graphics
*Account-level serious delinquency rate, measured as a percentage of accounts three or more months in arrears

Ayesha Hatea

"The market is stabilising away from the post-pandemic skew toward used vehicles, supporting consumers’ preferences for warranty coverage and predictable maintenance while expanding inclusion and access. In an increasingly competitive market, lenders need to calibrate loan terms, deposits, and residual values to match current conditions and customise products and insurance bundles for segments returning to new purchases."

Ayesha Hatea, director of research and consulting at TransUnion


About the South Africa Industry Insights Report

TransUnion’s quarterly South Africa Industry Insights Report provides in-depth, statistical information drawn from its national consumer credit database, aggregated across virtually every active credit file on record. Each file contains hundreds of credit variables that illustrate consumer credit usage and performance. Entities across industries can subscribe  to and leverage the Industry Insights Report to analyse market dynamics throughout an entire business cycle, helping them understand consumer behaviour over time. 

The report looks at major consumer lending categories: credit cards, personal loans, home loans, vehicle and asset finance (VAF), and clothing, focusing primarily on three dimensions across these categories: originations (new accounts opened), balances (outstanding total and average lending balances) and delinquencies (accounts in payment arrears).


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